{"id":197629,"date":"2025-03-30T15:28:00","date_gmt":"2025-03-30T20:28:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/2025\/03\/30\/storm-prediction-center-tornado-watch-71\/"},"modified":"2025-03-30T15:31:02","modified_gmt":"2025-03-30T20:31:02","slug":"storm-prediction-center-tornado-watch-71","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/2025\/03\/30\/storm-prediction-center-tornado-watch-71\/","title":{"rendered":"Storm Prediction Center Tornado Watch 71"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\n
\n<\/a><\/p>\n

Note:<\/span>\u00a0
\nThe expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
\nreplaced, cancelled or extended.<\/span>
\nNote:<\/span>\u00a0Click for
Watch Status Reports<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\n   SEL1\n\n   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED\n   Tornado Watch Number 71\n   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n   215 PM EDT Sun Mar 30 2025\n\n   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a\n\n   * Tornado Watch for portions of \n     Northeast Illinois\n     Northern Indiana\n     Extreme southwest Lower Michigan\n     Lake Michigan\n\n   * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until\n     800 PM EDT.\n\n   * Primary threats include...\n     A couple tornadoes possible\n     Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely\n     Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible\n\n   SUMMARY...A developing squall line in central Illinois will spread\n   quickly northeastward into Indiana through the afternoon, with the\n   potential for swaths of 60-70 mph thunderstorm gusts and a couple of\n   tornadoes with embedded circulations.  Additional storms will also\n   form across northeast Illinois with the potential to produce\n   damaging winds, isolated large hail (1-1.5 inches in diameter) and a\n   couple of tornadoes.\n\n   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles\n   east and west of a line from 35 miles northwest of South Bend IN to\n   5 miles south of Lafayette IN. For a complete depiction of the watch\n   see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).\n\n   PRECAUTIONARY\/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...\n\n   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for\n   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch\n   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for\n   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements\n   and possible warnings.\n\n   &&\n\n   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 70<\/a>...\n\n   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail\n   surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind\n   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean\n   storm motion vector 22045.\n\n   ...Thompson\n<\/pre>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n\"WW0071<\/a><\/p>\n
\n   SEL1\n\n   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED\n   Tornado Watch Number 71\n   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n   215 PM EDT Sun Mar 30 2025\n\n   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a\n\n   * Tornado Watch for portions of \n     Northeast Illinois\n     Northern Indiana\n     Extreme southwest Lower Michigan\n     Lake Michigan\n\n   * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until\n     800 PM EDT.\n\n   * Primary threats include...\n     A couple tornadoes possible\n     Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely\n     Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible\n\n   SUMMARY...A developing squall line in central Illinois will spread\n   quickly northeastward into Indiana through the afternoon, with the\n   potential for swaths of 60-70 mph thunderstorm gusts and a couple of\n   tornadoes with embedded circulations.  Additional storms will also\n   form across northeast Illinois with the potential to produce\n   damaging winds, isolated large hail (1-1.5 inches in diameter) and a\n   couple of tornadoes.\n\n   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles\n   east and west of a line from 35 miles northwest of South Bend IN to\n   5 miles south of Lafayette IN. For a complete depiction of the watch\n   see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).\n\n   PRECAUTIONARY\/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...\n\n   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for\n   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch\n   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for\n   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements\n   and possible warnings.\n\n   &&\n\n   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 70<\/a>...\n\n   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail\n   surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind\n   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean\n   storm motion vector 22045.\n\n   ...Thompson\n<\/pre>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n\"WW0071<\/a><\/p>\n

Note:<\/span>
\nThe Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
\nThe actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n   SAW1 \n   WW 71 TORNADO IL IN MI LM 301815Z - 310000Z\n   AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..\n   35NW SBN\/SOUTH BEND IN\/ - 5S LAF\/LAFAYETTE IN\/\n   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E\/W \/28NW GIJ - 14SSE BVT\/\n   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.\n   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.\n\n   LAT...LON 42058515 40348532 40348854 42058846\n\n   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A\n   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS\n   FOR WOU1.\n\n<\/pre>\n

Watch 71 Status Report Messages:<\/b><\/p>\n

\nSTATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 71<\/a>\n\nVALID 302030Z - 302140Z\n\nSEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 S DNV TO\n10 NE LAF TO 30 SSE VPZ TO 45 SSE RAC.\n\nFOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 305<\/a>\n\n..THORNTON..03\/30\/25\n\nATTN...WFO...LOT...IWX...\n\n&&\n\nSTATUS REPORT FOR WT 71 \n\nSEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS \n\nINC001-003-009-017-033-039-049-053-069-075-085-087-091-099-103-\n113-127-131-141-149-151-169-179-181-183-302140-\n\nIN \n.    INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE\n\nADAMS\t\t     ALLEN\t\t BLACKFORD\t     \nCASS\t\t     DE KALB\t\t ELKHART\t     \nFULTON\t\t     GRANT\t\t HUNTINGTON\t     \nJAY\t\t     KOSCIUSKO\t\t LAGRANGE\t     \nLA PORTE\t     MARSHALL\t\t MIAMI\t\t     \nNOBLE\t\t     PORTER\t\t PULASKI\t     \nST. JOSEPH\t     STARKE\t\t STEUBEN\t     \nWABASH\t\t     WELLS\t\t WHITE\t\t     \nWHITLEY \t     \n$$\n\n\nMIC021-023-027-149-302140-\n\nMI \n.    MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE\n\nBERRIEN \t     BRANCH\t\t CASS\t\t     \nST. JOSEPH\t     \n$$\n\n\nLMZ043-046-080-745-779-302140-\n\nCW \n\n.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE\n\nNEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI \n\nMICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI \n\nLAKE MICHIGAN MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST. JOSEPH MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO\nMID-LINE OF LAKE. \n\nBURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY IN \n\nLAKE MICHIGAN FROM WILMETTE HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY IN 5NM\nOFFSHORE TO MID LAKE \n\n$$\nTHE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE\nREFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL\nINFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES\nCLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.\n$$\n\nSTATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 71<\/a>\n\nVALID 301850Z - 301940Z\n\nTHE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.\n\n..WENDT..03\/30\/25\n\nATTN...WFO...LOT...IWX...\n\n&&\n\nSTATUS REPORT FOR WT 71 \n\nSEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS \n\nILC031-043-053-063-075-089-091-093-105-197-301940-\n\nIL \n.    ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE\n\nCOOK\t\t     DUPAGE\t\t FORD\t\t     \nGRUNDY\t\t     IROQUOIS\t\t KANE\t\t     \nKANKAKEE\t     KENDALL\t\t LIVINGSTON\t     \nWILL\t\t     \n$$\n\n\nINC001-003-007-009-017-033-039-049-053-069-073-075-085-087-089-\n091-099-103-111-113-127-131-141-149-151-169-179-181-183-\n301940-\n\nIN \n.    INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE\n\nADAMS\t\t     ALLEN\t\t BENTON \t     \nBLACKFORD\t     CASS\t\t DE KALB\t     \nELKHART \t     FULTON\t\t GRANT\t\t     \nHUNTINGTON\t     JASPER\t\t JAY\t\t     \nKOSCIUSKO\t     LAGRANGE\t\t LAKE\t\t     \nLA PORTE\t     MARSHALL\t\t MIAMI\t\t     \nNEWTON\t\t     NOBLE\t\t PORTER \t     \nPULASKI \t     ST. JOSEPH \t STARKE \t     \nSTEUBEN \t     WABASH\t\t WELLS\t\t     \nWHITE\t\t     WHITLEY\t\t \n$$\n\n\nMIC021-023-027-149-301940-\n\nMI \n.    MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE\n\nBERRIEN \t     BRANCH\t\t CASS\t\t     \nST. JOSEPH\t     \n$$\n\n\nLMZ043-046-080-740-741-742-743-744-745-779-301940-\n\nCW \n\n.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE\n\nNEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI \n\nMICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI \n\nLAKE MICHIGAN MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST. JOSEPH MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO\nMID-LINE OF LAKE. \n\nWINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL \n\nWILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND IL \n\nNORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR IL \n\nCALUMET HARBOR IL TO GARY IN \n\nGARY TO BURNS HARBOR IN \n\nBURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY IN \n\nLAKE MICHIGAN FROM WILMETTE HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY IN 5NM\nOFFSHORE TO MID LAKE \n\n$$\nTHE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE\nREFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL\nINFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES\nCLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.\n$$\n\n<\/pre>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n\"WW0071<\/a><\/p>\n

\nNote:<\/span>
\n\u00a0Click for
Complete Product Text<\/a>.
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

Tornadoes<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes <\/td>\n\n

Mod (40%)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes<\/td>\n\n

Low (20%)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Wind<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events<\/td>\n\n

High (80%)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots<\/td>\n\n

Low (20%)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Hail<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events<\/td>\n\n

Mod (40%)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches<\/span><\/td>\n\n

Low (20%)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Combined Severe Hail\/Wind<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail\/wind events<\/td>\n\n

High (>95%)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\nFor each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
\n(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
\nThe “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
\nto 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
\n“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
\nHigh values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
\nan increased threat for a particular event.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Note:\u00a0 The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended. Note:\u00a0Click for Watch Status Reports. SEL1 URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":197630,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4478],"tags":[4615,4614,4613,4656,4657],"class_list":["post-197629","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-watches-warnings-advisories-hazards","tag-center","tag-prediction","tag-storm","tag-tornado","tag-watch"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197629","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=197629"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197629\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":197631,"href":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197629\/revisions\/197631"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/197630"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=197629"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=197629"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/narcolepticnerd.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=197629"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}