Tropical Tidbits Forecast
Tropical Tidbits is a website that provides detailed analysis and forecasting models for tropical weather, particularly useful during hurricane season. It’s owned and maintained by Dr. Levi Cowan, who is known for his ability to explain complex meteorological conditions and forecasts in an accessible manner1. The site features a variety of models that meteorologists and weather enthusiasts use to predict storm paths, intensity, and impacts. These models include statistical and dynamic models, which are essential tools for the National Hurricane Center (NHC) when creating official forecasts and hazard information23. The site is highly regarded for its comprehensive data and Dr. Cowan’s insightful video updates during active storms1.
These models cater to different geographical scales and purposes. Global models such as ECMWF, GFS, ICON, CMC, NAVGEM, and their ensemble prediction systems provide imagery for the entire world. For the United States, mesoscale models like NAM, HRRR, various WRF variants, Canadian RGEM, and HRDPS are available. Additionally, specialized hurricane models HAFS, HWRF, and GFDL are used for tropical disturbances and storms. Climate models like CFSv2, CanSIPS, and NMME offer monthly to seasonal forecasts.
The products encompass map displays, model-derived soundings, and vertical cross sections. Data for these models are sourced from multiple organizations including NOAA, the Meteorological Service of Canada, the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, and others. These products are updated in real-time as data becomes available.
Social media users can freely share the images, but proper citation is encouraged. For blogs, articles, and websites, graphics can be used with appropriate attribution, but embedding real-time content from the page as a persistent fixture requires special permission. Users interested in special requests can contact levicowan@tropicaltidbits.com for more information.