Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 775

   Mesoscale Discussion 0775
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1247 PM CDT Tue May 13 2025

   Areas affected...Northeastern South Carolina into central North
   Carolina

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 131747Z - 131945Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated large hail and damaging wind gusts are possible
   with convection this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...A shortwave perturbation around the Mid-South upper low
   has promoted the development of convection along parts of the NC/SC
   border. Additional storms are possible within this very moist,
   uncapped airmass along the Atlantic sea breeze or other localized
   areas of convergence. The most organized storms can be expected
   closer to the coast where effective shear values are greater. Large
   hail and damaging winds will likely be the primary threats with this
   activity. A weak warm front feature from northeast North Carolina
   into Virginia continues to lift northward. Given the boundary motion
   away from the ongoing storms, the tornado threat will likely remain
   low.

   ..Wendt/Gleason.. 05/13/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   33998075 35518067 36148034 36077993 35447889 34897834
               34347804 34007830 33777885 33537909 33717962 33718025
               33998075 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN