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| Mesoscale Discussion 598 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0598
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0306 AM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
Areas affected...southwest Oklahoma into northwest Texas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 290806Z - 291000Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A few strong to severe gust may occur from northwest Texas
into southwest Oklahoma this morning. The situation may not require
a watch.
DISCUSSION...An MCS is rapidly moving eastward into northwest TX,
with several gusts over 50 kt recently. Radar indicates the leading
edge of this convective line remains strong and well balanced. Given
a moist and unstable air mass downstream, it is expected this system
will persist for a few more hours. However, longevity may also
depend on capping. At the very least, isolated severe gusts may
occur. Trends will continue to be monitored.
..Jewell/Mosier.. 04/29/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...
LAT...LON 34309996 34709984 34819944 34939822 34759773 34489756
34019759 33569772 33399840 33180004 33270030 34309996
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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