|
|
| Mesoscale Discussion 561 | |
|
|
Mesoscale Discussion 0561 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Areas affected...the Trans-Pecos and Permian Basin Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173... Valid 252044Z - 252215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173 continues. SUMMARY...A localized very large hail threat should be confined to the Trans-Pecos and adjacent Pecos Valley into early evening. DISCUSSION...A slow-moving supercell has been drifting east, west of Fort Stockton. Additional storm-development appears likely to be delayed until early evening or later based on recent visible satellite and HRRR trends. 19Z observed sounding at Midland sampled weak 0-3 km shear/SRH, limiting low-level hodograph curvature. Still, adequate speed shear through the buoyancy layer will support large to very large hail potential with the supercell or two that anchor near the higher terrain. As low-level southeasterlies increase in the next few hours, additional storms may develop north into far southeast NM. ..Grams.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MAF... LAT...LON 31580316 30880275 30640291 30650345 30720392 31170423 31980430 31860343 31580316 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN |
|
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home |
|