Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2184

   Mesoscale Discussion 2184
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0617 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of southeastern Louisiana and southern
   Mississippi

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 633...

   Valid 261117Z - 261245Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 633 continues.

   SUMMARY...A notable uptick in thunderstorm intensity is evident
   across parts of southeastern Louisiana into southern Mississippi --
   within Tornado Watch 633. This trend may continue for at least
   another couple hours, with a risk for a couple tornadoes.

   DISCUSSION...The latest radar and lightning data indicate an
   increase in thunderstorm intensity/organization over the last hour
   -- generally in a north-south corridor extending from southeast LA
   into southern MS. A couple radar-confirmed tornadoes have been noted
   with this activity. The broken band of supercells are evolving
   east-northeastward in an environment characterized by
   enlarged/clockwise-curved low-level hodographs (upwards of 250 m2/s2
   0-1 km SRH per VWP) and lower 70s boundary-layer dewpoints. As these
   established storms and favorable environment continue spreading
   eastward this morning, the risk for couple tornadoes will continue
   across Tornado Watch 633.

   ..Weinman.. 10/26/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...

   LAT...LON   29629090 31309002 31438983 31428945 31238921 30178952
               29199002 29109032 29359081 29629090 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH