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| Mesoscale Discussion 2023 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 2023 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0909 PM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025 Areas affected...Southern High Plains Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 604... Valid 300209Z - 300415Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 604 continues. SUMMARY...Gusty winds may accompany storms as they propagate southeast this evening. DISCUSSION...Several thunderstorm clusters persist this evening across the High Plains from northwest KS into east central NM. This activity appears to be aided by a short-wave trough that is flattening the ridge over CO. 00z soundings from both AMA and DDC exhibited around 7-7.5 C/km lapse rates, and more than adequate shear for maintaining these clusters as they propagate southeast. While large-scale support will continue to encourage some longevity, buoyancy is not particularly strong, especially given the weak low-level inflow. Gusty winds are the main concern with these storms as they move southeast, but a new watch is not currently anticipated downstream. ..Darrow.. 08/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ... LAT...LON 35020341 36250183 37090193 37670288 38750140 36190105 34760273 35020341 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN |
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