Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1414

   Mesoscale Discussion 1414
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1003 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

   Areas affected...Central Nebraska...Southeast South Dakota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 453...

   Valid 230303Z - 230430Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 453
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will likely
   continue for several hours across parts of central NE and southeast
   SD.  A few instances of large hail will remain possible, but the
   primary severe threat is diminishing.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue to persist and increase in areal
   coverage to the north of a surface cold front extending across
   central NE.  All of the storms in this region are elevated, but in
   an environment of sufficient CAPE/shear to maintain some risk of
   large hail for a few more hours.  While there is some potential for
   a watch extension beyond 04z, the primary severe concern appears to
   be diminishing.

   ..Hart.. 06/23/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...ABR...LBF...UNR...

   LAT...LON   42930021 44349829 44329685 43499692 42279847 40680119
               41870070 42930021 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN