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| Mesoscale Discussion 1301 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1301
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Areas affected...Portions of Central Texas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 151858Z - 152100Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...A few strong to marginally severe gusts are possible this
afternoon. A few damaging downbursts are possible as outflow
boundaries collide.
DISCUSSION...As the outflow from an earlier MCS continues into a
strongly buoyant airmass in central Texas, a few strong to
near-severe gusts have been measures from San Saba to Killeen and
Waco (all 40-49 kts). Convection from the Gulf breeze front has also
been propagating northward this afternoon. Given the low-level lapse
rates and a signature for a localized 50+ kt winds on KGRK velocity
data, additional strong to marginally severe gusts may still occur.
There also will be some potential for strong to near-severe
downburst winds as the remnant MCS outflow collides with outflow
from Gulf breeze convection within the next couple hours.
..Wendt/Thompson.. 06/15/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...
LAT...LON 30279888 30629920 31209955 31419927 31429855 31489755
32129652 32149596 31699545 31159567 30529654 30179796
30139852 30279888
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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