|
|
| Mesoscale Discussion 1268 | |
|
|
Mesoscale Discussion 1268
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0750 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025
Areas affected...Parts of south-central MN
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 130050Z - 130215Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A threat for localized severe/damaging wind and marginal
hail remains possible this evening.
DISCUSSION...An elevated supercell has evolved into a small linear
segment across parts of south-central MN. Despite its clearly
elevated nature, this storm produced a 75 kt gust in Hutchinson, MN,
along with reports of substantial wind damage. The longevity of the
severe threat with this small line segment is uncertain, given
decreasing MUCAPE downstream. However, given its current severe
intensity, some threat could reach at least western portions of the
Twin Cities area.
Another small elevated supercell is ongoing upstream across
southwest MN. Whether or not this cell undergoes a similar evolution
as the lead cell is highly uncertain, but some threat for isolated
hail and damaging wind could accompany this storm as well as it
moves east-southeastward this evening.
..Dean/Smith.. 06/13/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MPX...
LAT...LON 45339547 45269377 45189309 44649324 44379342 44459476
44649530 45019558 45339547
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
|
|
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home |
|