Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1207

   Mesoscale Discussion 1207
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0510 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025

   Areas affected...portions of the Texas Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394...396...

   Valid 082210Z - 082345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394, 396
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Multiple supercells will continue over the next few hours
   with a significant-severe wind/hail threat. A tornado may also
   accompany the more dominant, discrete supercells with unimpeded
   inflow.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have matured across the TX
   Panhandle over the last few hours, with 4+ inch hail recently
   reported with the Hall/Briscoe County, TX border storm, and a
   tornado reported in Dallam County, TX. Supercells across the TX
   Panhandle are gradually merging, and the development into an MCS may
   occur over the next 3-4 hours. At the moment, there are two
   supercells that are remaining more discrete (Hall/Briscoe County and
   Hartley County). These storms have relatively pristine inflow of
   4000+ J/kg MLCAPE, which will support a risk for either 4-5 inch
   diameter hail or a tornado for the next few hours. Severe gusts
   remain possible with all storms. 75+ mph gusts are most likely with
   mature storms that merge.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/08/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36310300 36510140 35990037 34949946 34509949 34260060
               34780236 35000289 36310300 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...4.00+ IN