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| Mesoscale Discussion 1186 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1186 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0705 PM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Areas affected...Northeast NM into the TX Panhandle Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387... Valid 080005Z - 080130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387 continues. SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms may spread southeast this evening. DISCUSSION...A couple of strong to potentially severe storms are ongoing across northeast NM early this evening. Deep-layer shear is sufficient for supercells, and with increasing low-level moisture and instability downstream, some intensification is possible in the short term as storms approach the TX Panhandle. A localized threat for large to very large hail and isolated strong/severe gusts could accompany these cells as they move southeastward. With generally nebulous large-scale ascent, longevity of the severe threat later tonight is uncertain. However, depending on short-term observational trends, some local expansion of WW 387 may eventually be needed. ..Dean/Gleason.. 06/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AMA...ABQ... LAT...LON 36790450 36800343 36330281 35830093 35050102 35200322 36200417 36790450 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN |
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