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| Mesoscale Discussion 1157 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1157
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0452 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025
Areas affected...portions of central and northern Alabama into
northern Georgia
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 062152Z - 062315Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A few strong wind gusts will remain possible through the
rest of the afternoon. Given the isolated nature of the severe
threat, a WW issuance is not expected.
DISCUSSION...Several strong pulse-cellular and multicellular storms
have matured over the past few hours given strong heating of a moist
boundary layer. 7-8 C/km boundary-layer lapse rates atop 70+ F
surface dewpoints are contributing to 1500-3000 J/kg MLCAPE. While
the warm sector is overspread by only 25-35 kts of effective bulk
shear, these conditions should support continued organization of
multicells with wet downburst potential. The severe threat, however,
should be isolated, precluding a WW issuance.
..Squitieri/Gleason.. 06/06/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...HUN...MOB...
LAT...LON 32218754 32548812 32868817 33638776 34348720 34818599
34888516 34778470 34358458 34008464 33388488 33098514
32678568 32258628 32128687 32218754
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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