ORLANDO, Fla. — The National Hurricane Center officially confirmed Tuesday that Tropical Storm Jerry has formed in the western Atlantic Ocean, marking the tenth named storm of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
Current Storm Status
Jerry is expected to intensify over the coming days as it encounters favorable atmospheric conditions. Meteorologists report that the storm’s showers and thunderstorms will gradually become better organized as the system moves through the warm waters of the central Atlantic.
Projected Storm Track
According to current forecasting models, Jerry’s movement pattern includes:
- Initial Direction: West-northwest movement through the weekend
- Critical Turn: Sharp northward turn expected before potential landfall in the Leeward Islands
- Overall Path: Similar trajectory to Hurricane Humberto, curving away from the U.S. East Coast
- Bermuda Impact: Most models predict the storm will turn northward before reaching Bermuda
Intensity Forecast Uncertainty
Meteorologists are experiencing significant disagreement regarding Jerry’s potential strength:
Conservative Projections
- 50% of models predict Jerry will remain a tropical storm throughout its lifecycle
Aggressive Projections
- Several models suggest rapid intensification into a major hurricane by weekend’s end
Model Consensus
The only area of agreement among forecasters is Jerry’s projected path, which shows consistent northward recurvature before threatening populated areas.
What This Means for Residents
While Jerry represents the tenth named storm of an active 2025 hurricane season, current projections suggest minimal direct impact to the continental United States. However, residents of the Leeward Islands should monitor updates closely as the storm’s northward turn timing remains critical.
Monitoring and Updates
This storm remains in early development stages, requiring continued observation. Channel 9 meteorologists will provide regular updates as Jerry’s path and intensity become more defined over the next 48-72 hours.
Source: WFTV Channel 9
Original Article: Tropical Storm Jerry forms in the Atlantic