Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2051

   Mesoscale Discussion 2051
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0731 PM CDT Mon Sep 08 2025

   Areas affected...far southwest Kansas into the northern Texas
   Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 608...

   Valid 090031Z - 090330Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 608
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Scattered storms producing damaging hail may persist for
   several more hours from far northwest Oklahoma into the Texas
   Panhandle.

   DISCUSSION...Severe storms producing hail, some with a history of
   sizes > 2-3", continue to affect a small portion of southwest KS,
   northwest OK, and the northeast TX Panhandle this evening. Isolated
   activity also extends into north-central OK, though these storms are
   weaker and will be mitigated by increasing CIN and cooler upstream
   surface temperatures.

   The more robust storms, situated on the warm side of the KS outflow
   boundary and extending southwestward near the surface thermal ridge,
   are expected to have greater longevity as capping will be slower to
   increase there. A modest low-level jet up to 40 kt will also help to
   maintain boundary layer mixing/warmth, further supporting a narrow
   corridor of persistent threat well into the evening and west of the
   larger CIN.

   ..Jewell.. 09/09/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...

   LAT...LON   35780200 37190019 37299974 37169900 36979830 36749786
               36589774 36469766 36359775 35979857 35559988 35530117
               35570205 35780200 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN