Hurricane Erin — Latest NHC Update (Advisory #40, 12:00 AM EDT Aug 21, 2025)
- Location: About 215 miles SSE of Cape Hatteras, NC; 485 miles W of Bermuda
- Movement: North at 16 mph
- Maximum Sustained Winds: 110 mph (Category 2)
- Hurricane-force winds: Extend outward up to 105 miles from the center
- Tropical-storm-force winds: Extend outward up to 265 miles
Watches and Warnings
- Storm Surge Warning: Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina (2–4 ft surge possible)
- Tropical Storm Warning: Beaufort Inlet, NC to Chincoteague, VA (including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds)
- Tropical Storm Watch: Bermuda
Key Hazards
- Wind: Tropical storm conditions expected in the Outer Banks and Virginia coast. Gusts to tropical storm force possible along the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts Thursday–Friday. Gale conditions possible in Nova Scotia and Newfoundland later.
- Surf: Life-threatening surf and rip currents along the U.S. East Coast, Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada.
- Storm Surge: 2–4 ft possible from Cape Lookout to Duck, NC, with large and dangerous waves and significant beach erosion.
- Rainfall: Outer bands may bring up to 1 inch of rain to the Outer Banks tonight into Thursday.
Forecast
Erin is expected to turn north-northeast, then accelerate northeast and east-northeast, passing between the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda, then south of Atlantic Canada. Some slight strengthening possible, but weakening expected by Thursday night or Friday as Erin moves over colder waters and encounters wind shear. Erin is forecast to remain a hurricane into the weekend.
Key Messages
- Life-threatening surf and rip currents for the Bahamas, U.S. East Coast, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada.
- Storm surge flooding and tropical storm conditions expected in the North Carolina Outer Banks through Thursday, with significant beach erosion and overwash.
- Tropical storm conditions expected Thursday along the Virginia coast and possible along the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts.
- Tropical storm conditions possible in Bermuda Thursday and Friday; gusts to gale force possible in Nova Scotia and Newfoundland.
Official NHC Links: