Hurricane Erin (AL05) — 8:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 19, 2025 Advisory & SEO Update

Hurricane Erin (AL05) — Latest NHC Advisory (5:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 19, 2025)

• Advisory time: 5:00 PM EDT (2100 UTC) • Aug 19, 2025
• Status: Category 2 hurricane
• Max winds: 105 mph (165 km/h)
• Min pressure: 958 mb
• Location: 26.6°N 72.7°W (about 615 mi SW of Bermuda; 615 mi SSE of Cape Hatteras, NC)
• Movement: NNW (330°) at 10 mph (17 km/h)
• Wind field: Hurricane-force to 80 mi; TS-force to 230 mi (370 km)
• Watches/Warnings:
  • Storm Surge Warning: Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Beaufort Inlet to Duck, NC (incl. Pamlico & Albemarle Sounds)
  • Tropical Storm Watch: North of Duck, NC to Chincoteague, VA; Bermuda
• Next advisories: Intermediate 8:00 PM EDT; Complete 11:00 PM EDT
• Source: NHC Public Advisory

What’s happening now

Hurricane Erin is a large, powerful Category 2 hurricane churning off the U.S. East Coast. As of 5:00 PM EDT, Erin is located about 615 miles SSE of Cape Hatteras, NC, with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph and a central pressure of 958 mb. The storm is moving NNW at 10 mph and is expected to turn north, then northeast, passing between the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda through Thursday.

Key threats:

• Storm surge of 2–4 ft possible from Cape Lookout to Duck, NC, with large and dangerous waves.
• Life-threatening rip currents and rough surf for the Bahamas, Bermuda, U.S. East Coast, and Atlantic Canada for several days.
• Tropical storm conditions expected in the Outer Banks late Wednesday into Thursday; possible in Bermuda and coastal Virginia.
• Rainfall: 1–2 inches possible for the Outer Banks, with localized flooding and beach erosion.

No direct U.S. landfall is forecast, but significant coastal impacts are likely. Always follow local NWS and NHC guidance.

Key takeaways

• Hurricane Erin is a Category 2 hurricane with 105 mph winds, moving NNW off the U.S. East Coast.
• Storm surge warnings for parts of the North Carolina coast; tropical storm warnings and watches extend northward and to Bermuda.
• Life-threatening surf and rip currents for the U.S. East Coast, Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada.
• No direct U.S. landfall expected, but significant coastal impacts (flooding, erosion, dangerous surf) are likely.
• Always follow official NHC and local advisories for the latest updates and safety information.

Always follow guidance from your local meteorological service and the National Hurricane Center (NHC). This post summarizes official information for convenience and situational awareness.

Current status (as of 5:00 PM EDT • Aug 19, 2025)

• Status: Category 2 hurricane (AL052025)
• Location: 26.6°N 72.7°W (about 615 mi SW of Bermuda; 615 mi SSE of Cape Hatteras, NC)
• Movement: NNW (330°) at 10 mph (17 km/h)
• Maximum sustained winds: 105 mph (165 km/h)
• Minimum central pressure: 958 mb (28.29 in)
• Wind field: Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles; tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km).

Watches and warnings

🌀 Storm Surge Warning

• Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina

🟠 Tropical Storm Warning

• Beaufort Inlet, NC to Duck, NC (including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds)

🟡 Tropical Storm Watch

• North of Duck, NC to Chincoteague, VA
• Bermuda

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline during the next 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Forecast overview

• Track: Erin will move north-northwest tonight, then turn north and northeast, passing between the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda Wednesday–Thursday.
• Intensity: Some fluctuations possible, but Erin is expected to remain a Category 2 hurricane for the next day or so.
• Confidence: No direct U.S. landfall is forecast, but the large wind field and dangerous surf will impact a wide area. Bermuda and the U.S. Mid-Atlantic/New England coasts should monitor closely.

Expected impacts

• Storm surge: 2–4 ft possible from Cape Lookout to Duck, NC, with large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on timing and local conditions.
• Rainfall: 1–2 inches possible for the Outer Banks, with localized flooding and beach erosion.
• Wind: Tropical storm conditions expected in the Outer Banks late Wednesday into Thursday; possible in Bermuda and coastal Virginia.
• Surf/Rip Currents: Life-threatening surf and rip currents for the Bahamas, Bermuda, U.S. East Coast, and Atlantic Canada for several days. Heed local beach flags and advisories.

Maps and official resources

• NHC Public Advisory
• NHC Forecast Advisory (track, wind radii)
• NHC Forecast Discussion (key messages)
• NHC 3–5 day cone & wind speed probabilities
• Rip current risk graphic (U.S.)
• Peak storm surge graphic

Graphics

Latest NHC 5‑Day Cone of Uncertainty (auto‑updating):

Cumulative wind history (areas affected so far by sustained TS/Hurricane‑force winds):

Storm‑specific “Basic 7” graphics for Erin:

• Cone and track
• Wind speed probabilities
• Arrival time (earliest reasonable)
• Arrival time (most likely)
• Wind history
• Rainfall potential (experimental)
• Key messages (text)

Update — 5:00 PM EDT Advisory (34)

• NHC Public Advisory at 5:00 PM EDT reports Erin at 26.6N 72.7W, moving NNW at 10 mph, maximum sustained winds 105 mph, minimum pressure 958 mb. Storm Surge Warning for Cape Lookout to Duck, NC; Tropical Storm Warning for Beaufort Inlet to Duck, NC; Tropical Storm Watch north of Duck, NC to Chincoteague, VA and Bermuda. Source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT5.shtml

Update — 8:00 PM EDT Intermediate Advisory (34A)

• NHC Intermediate Public Advisory at 8:00 PM EDT (0000 UTC) reports Erin at 27.3°N 72.7°W, moving NNW (330°) at 10 mph, maximum sustained winds 105 mph, and minimum central pressure 959 mb. Distances: about 585 mi SW of Bermuda and 570 mi SSE of Cape Hatteras, NC. Watches/Warnings unchanged from the 5 PM advisory. Source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT5+shtml/192357.shtml?

Recon snapshot (around 0000Z)

• Vortex Data Message (URNT12 KNHC 200044): Center fix at 27.31°N 72.71°W at 23:46:50Z; minimum SLP 960 mb; eyewall open to the west (OPEN W). Max flight-level wind observed 78 kt (noted at 00:13Z), peak SFMR surface wind sampled 64 kt during this pass. Thermal structure shows a warm core (max FL temp ~16°C). Source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPNT2.shtml

Next updates

• Next complete NHC advisory: 11:00 PM EDT
• This post will be updated as new advisories and key messages are released.

Videos — Latest coverage (Aug 19, 2025)

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Source: National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories and discussions. U.S. Government publications are in the public domain. Always consult your local meteorological service for location-specific warnings and preparedness guidance.