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Mesoscale Discussion 1926 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1926 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0829 PM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025 Areas affected...Eastern Colorado...Northeast New Mexico Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 585... Valid 110129Z - 110330Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 585 continues. SUMMARY...Isolated severe risk continues. DISCUSSION...Scattered robust convection persists across the plains of eastern CO into northeast NM, supported in part by favorable upslope boundary-layer flow. Southwestern flank of western U.S. trough appears to be aiding this activity as large-scale ascent is spreading into this region. Latest diagnostic data suggests substantial buoyancy persists ahead of this convection, thus longevity is anticipated with these storms as they propagate downstream toward western KS and portions of the OK/northern TX Panhandle region. Hail remains the primary concern, though damaging winds may become more common along the leading edge of more organized MCS clusters. ..Darrow.. 08/11/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ... LAT...LON 36740503 40900506 40910219 36740234 36740503 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN |
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