Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1926

   Mesoscale Discussion 1926
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0829 PM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

   Areas affected...Eastern Colorado...Northeast New Mexico

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 585...

   Valid 110129Z - 110330Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 585
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Isolated severe risk continues.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered robust convection persists across the plains
   of eastern CO into northeast NM, supported in part by favorable
   upslope boundary-layer flow. Southwestern flank of western U.S.
   trough appears to be aiding this activity as large-scale ascent is
   spreading into this region. Latest diagnostic data suggests
   substantial buoyancy persists ahead of this convection, thus
   longevity is anticipated with these storms as they propagate
   downstream toward western KS and portions of the OK/northern TX
   Panhandle region. Hail remains the primary concern, though damaging
   winds may become more common along the leading edge of more
   organized MCS clusters.

   ..Darrow.. 08/11/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   36740503 40900506 40910219 36740234 36740503 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN