Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1551

   Mesoscale Discussion 1551
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0220 PM CDT Thu Jul 03 2025

   Areas affected...southern ME and NH

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 483...

   Valid 031920Z - 032115Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 483
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Limited threat for strong storms is anticipated into early
   evening within WW 483, mainly across NH and southern ME.

   DISCUSSION...Overall strong to severe storm activity has diminished
   into peak heating. Outflow from leading convection outpaced deeper
   convective cores and has mitigated a more substantial damaging wind
   threat. Locally strong gusts remain possible across the remainder of
   Downeast ME that has yet to overturn. The upstream round of
   convection from southern VT to far western ME has struggled to
   appreciably intensify despite ongoing airmass recovery to its south
   over most of NH into far southern ME. It is plausible that
   convection may still increase along this outflow with a risk of
   locally strong gusts. Farther north in ME, surface temperatures in
   the mid 60s to low 70s appear unlikely to support an increased
   damaging wind threat prior to 22Z watch expiration.

   ..Grams.. 07/03/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

   LAT...LON   45616740 45126707 44606763 43976995 43197179 43297224
               43587221 44297156 45447058 45706917 45616740 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH