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Mesoscale Discussion 1525 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1525 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Areas affected...northern MO and central IL Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 301906Z - 302100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Locally strong gusts and small hail will be possible with storms developing along a cold front and sagging southeast into early evening. DISCUSSION...Gradual convective development has been underway along the trailing portion of a weak southwest/northeast-oriented cold front, ahead of a minor MCV over the northern KC Metro Area. Somewhat greater boundary-layer heating has occurred ahead of the IL portion of the front, which may aid in strong gust potential later as storm coverage increases along the front. Low to mid-level wind profiles are decidedly weak and westerly ahead of the MCV per area VWPs. As such, organizational potential appears rather limited. Pulse-type wet microbursts and loose clustering should pose a risk of localized strong gusts. ..Grams/Hart.. 06/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...EAX... LAT...LON 39149417 39569440 39769370 40029241 40279137 40649023 40748989 41158812 41118779 40788779 39938852 39308983 39189167 39209243 39149417 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH |
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