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Mesoscale Discussion 1515 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1515 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0544 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025 Areas affected...Southern Wisconsin Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 477... Valid 292244Z - 300015Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 477 continues. SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development will remain possible along and south of an aggregate outflow boundary, but the threat for wind damage will become more marginal with time. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are ongoing along an aggregate outflow boundary that is moving slowly southward into southern WI. Vertical shear is quite weak and little storm organization/persistence is expected, but the stronger storms could still produce isolated wind damage given precipitation loading and steep low-level lapse rates along and south of the outflow. The limited severe threat appears to be covered by the current watch configuration, and no additional watches/extensions appear needed this evening. ..Thompson.. 06/29/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...ARX... LAT...LON 42768932 42679043 42899109 43259105 43468968 43838870 44228804 44108781 43808802 43158875 42768932 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN |
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