Mesoscale Discussion 1449 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1012 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 Areas affected...Eastern Georgia Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 459...462... Valid 260312Z - 260515Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 459, 462 continues. SUMMARY...A convective line will continue to push into eastern Georgia with a damaging wind and severe hail threat for the next few hours. DISCUSSION...A loosely organized MCS continues to push southwest into eastern GA with a recent history of producing 40-50 mph winds and swaths of wind damage. Additionally, a few severe hail reports have been noted with some of the deeper cores. However, the MCS remains outflow dominant, and GOES IR imagery over the past 2 hours shows slowly warming cloud-top temperatures, indicative of a gradual weakening trend. In general, the MCS should continue to slowly weaken over the next several hours as MLCIN slowly increases via continued nocturnal cooling. In the short term (next 1-2 hours), stronger embedded cells within the line will remain possible, as evidence by recent echo tops briefly reaching up to 50 kft, and transient, but intense, updrafts developing downstream across southern GA. These short-term trends suggests that the near-storm/downstream environment will continue to support deep convection. As such, the expectation is for a continuation of the MCS with embedded swaths of stronger winds and sporadic large hail associated with the development (and collapse) of deeper updrafts embedded within the line. ..Moore.. 06/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE... LAT...LON 33318240 33158169 32888123 32618092 32458081 32178090 31688129 31428177 31388230 31448277 31648328 31928355 32208370 32458368 32768352 33318240 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Category: Watches, Warnings, Advisories, & Hazards