Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1449


   Mesoscale Discussion 1449
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1012 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

   Areas affected...Eastern Georgia

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 459...462...

   Valid 260312Z - 260515Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 459, 462
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A convective line will continue to push into eastern
   Georgia with a damaging wind and severe hail threat for the next few
   hours.

   DISCUSSION...A loosely organized MCS continues to push southwest
   into eastern GA with a recent history of producing 40-50 mph winds
   and swaths of wind damage. Additionally, a few severe hail reports
   have been noted with some of the deeper cores. However, the MCS
   remains outflow dominant, and GOES IR imagery over the past 2 hours
   shows slowly warming cloud-top temperatures, indicative of a gradual
   weakening trend. In general, the MCS should continue to slowly
   weaken over the next several hours as MLCIN slowly increases via
   continued nocturnal cooling. In the short term (next 1-2 hours),
   stronger embedded cells within the line will remain possible, as
   evidence by recent echo tops briefly reaching up to 50 kft, and
   transient, but intense, updrafts developing downstream across
   southern GA. These short-term trends suggests that the
   near-storm/downstream environment will continue to support deep
   convection. As such, the expectation is for a continuation of the
   MCS with embedded swaths of stronger winds and sporadic large hail
   associated with the development (and collapse) of deeper updrafts
   embedded within the line.

   ..Moore.. 06/26/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

   LAT...LON   33318240 33158169 32888123 32618092 32458081 32178090
               31688129 31428177 31388230 31448277 31648328 31928355
               32208370 32458368 32768352 33318240 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

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