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| Mesoscale Discussion 1108 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1108 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 AM CDT Wed Jun 04 2025 Areas affected...Central and Northeast Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364... Valid 040634Z - 040830Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364 continues. SUMMARY...A threat for isolated large hail and wind damage may continue over the next few hours across central and northeast Texas. The severe threat is expected to be too isolated for weather watch issuance. DISCUSSION...A line of strong to severe storms is currently ongoing from the northern Texas Hill Country northeastward to southeast of the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex. The southwestern part of the line is near a cold front, with surface dewpoints in the lower 70s F. The very moist airmass is contributing to moderate instability, with a narrow axis of instability axis located just ahead of the front. Near the instability axis, the KGRK WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 Km shear in the 30 to 35 knot range, with winds veering from south to west from the surface to 2 km above ground level. This should continue to support an isolated severe threat over the next few hours, as the line move southward across the Texas Hill Country. The primary mode is expected to be linear, which will be favor isolated damaging wind gusts along short bowing segments. Hail will also be possible with the more intense cores embedded in the line. ..Broyles.. 06/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 31719820 31379935 31219968 30929992 30679993 30429983 30089945 30099876 30389776 31219617 31909526 32499484 32939477 33349498 33469525 33399552 33159581 32489644 31949753 31719820 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN |
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