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| Mesoscale Discussion 1030 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1030 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0626 PM CDT Wed May 28 2025 Areas affected...portions of central Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 343... Valid 282326Z - 290100Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 343 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for large to very large hail (2+ inches) continues within WW343. DISCUSSION...Two strong supercells continue within WW343 across central Texas this evening, with a history of producing hail up to 2 inches. The environment within this region continues to be very favorably unstable, with steep lapse rates, and strong deep layer shear. This will continue to support strong supercells over the next few hours. Some mesoscale enhancement has occurred with the cell over Williamson/Travis counties as it interacted with a remnant outflow boundary. This storm produced hail up to 2 inches as it topped out around 50kft. It will continue southward and local extension of WW343 may be needed to account for this threat. ..Thornton.. 05/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 31420016 31989977 32219914 31979867 31499796 31019725 30779713 30409734 30129747 30049780 30099839 30599949 31420016 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN |
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