Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 154
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
western and central Arkansas
southeastern Kansas
northwestern Louisiana
central and southern Missouri
eastern Oklahoma
far northeastern Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from NOON until 700
PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes
possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A steady increase in coverage and intensity of
thunderstorms is expected to occur over the next several hours, with
severe-weather potential evolving from eastern Oklahoma and the
Arklatex region northward into Missouri. Along with risk for fairly
widespread damaging wind gusts and hail, several tornadoes are
expected -- including potential for a few that are
strong/longer-lived.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles north of Springfield MO to 25
miles west of Texarkana AR. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23040.
...Goss
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 154
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
western and central Arkansas
southeastern Kansas
northwestern Louisiana
central and southern Missouri
eastern Oklahoma
far northeastern Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from NOON until 700
PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes
possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A steady increase in coverage and intensity of
thunderstorms is expected to occur over the next several hours, with
severe-weather potential evolving from eastern Oklahoma and the
Arklatex region northward into Missouri. Along with risk for fairly
widespread damaging wind gusts and hail, several tornadoes are
expected -- including potential for a few that are
strong/longer-lived.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles north of Springfield MO to 25
miles west of Texarkana AR. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23040.
...Goss
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 154 TORNADO AR KS LA MO OK TX 201700Z - 210000Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45N SGF/SPRINGFIELD MO/ - 25W TXK/TEXARKANA AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /31N SGF - 19W TXK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
LAT...LON 37869201 33439313 33439573 37869475
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 154 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 154
VALID 202250Z - 202340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW TXK TO
20 N HOT TO 15 ENE TBN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 506
..SQUITIERI..04/20/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SHV...SGF...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-019-023-027-029-039-045-049-051-053-057-059-061-065-073-
089-091-099-103-105-109-119-125-129-137-141-202340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER CLARK CLEBURNE
COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS
FAULKNER FULTON GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
HOWARD IZARD LAFAYETTE
MARION MILLER NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY PIKE
PULASKI SALINE SEARCY
STONE VAN BUREN
$$
LAC015-017-119-202340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO WEBSTER
$$
MOC007-027-065-067-091-125-137-149-151-153-161-169-173-203-215-
202340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN CALLAWAY DENT
DOUGLAS HOWELL MARIES
MONROE OREGON OSAGE
OZARK PHELPS PULASKI
RALLS SHANNON TEXAS
$$
TXC037-067-203-315-202340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CASS HARRISON
MARION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 154
VALID 202025Z - 202140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S PRX TO
25 WSW DEQ TO 20 NNE DEQ TO 30 ESE RKR TO 5 N FYV TO 15 WNW UMN
TO 30 SE OJC.
..WENDT..04/20/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SHV...SGF...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-009-015-019-023-027-029-039-045-047-049-051-053-057-059-
061-065-071-073-081-083-087-089-091-097-099-101-103-105-109-113-
115-119-125-127-129-133-137-141-149-202140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BOONE CARROLL
CLARK CLEBURNE COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER
FRANKLIN FULTON GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
HOWARD IZARD JOHNSON
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN
MADISON MARION MILLER
MONTGOMERY NEVADA NEWTON
OUACHITA PERRY PIKE
POLK POPE PULASKI
SALINE SCOTT SEARCY
SEVIER STONE VAN BUREN
YELL
$$
LAC015-017-119-202140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO WEBSTER
$$
MOC007-009-015-019-027-029-039-041-043-051-053-057-059-065-067-
077-083-085-089-091-105-109-121-125-131-135-137-141-149-151-153-
159-161-167-169-173-175-185-195-203-209-213-215-225-229-
202140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BENTON
BOONE CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CEDAR CHARITON CHRISTIAN
COLE COOPER DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HENRY HICKORY
HOWARD HOWELL LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MACON MARIES
MILLER MONITEAU MONROE
MORGAN OREGON OSAGE
OZARK PETTIS PHELPS
POLK PULASKI RALLS
RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SALINE
SHANNON STONE TANEY
TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC089-202140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-067-203-315-387-202140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CASS HARRISON
MARION RED RIVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 154
VALID 201830Z - 201940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..04/20/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SHV...SGF...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-019-023-027-029-033-039-045-047-049-051-053-
057-059-061-065-071-073-081-083-087-089-091-097-099-101-103-105-
109-113-115-119-125-127-129-131-133-137-141-143-149-201940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CLARK CLEBURNE
COLUMBIA CONWAY CRAWFORD
DALLAS FAULKNER FRANKLIN
FULTON GARLAND GRANT
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
IZARD JOHNSON LAFAYETTE
LITTLE RIVER LOGAN MADISON
MARION MILLER MONTGOMERY
NEVADA NEWTON OUACHITA
PERRY PIKE POLK
POPE PULASKI SALINE
SCOTT SEARCY SEBASTIAN
SEVIER STONE VAN BUREN
WASHINGTON YELL
$$
KSC011-021-037-107-201940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
LINN
$$
LAC015-017-119-201940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO WEBSTER
$$
MOC009-011-013-015-019-027-029-039-043-051-053-057-059-065-067-
077-083-085-089-091-097-105-109-119-125-131-135-141-145-149-151-
153-159-161-167-169-185-203-209-213-215-217-225-229-201940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
BENTON BOONE CALLAWAY
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
COLE COOPER DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HENRY HICKORY
HOWARD HOWELL JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MONITEAU
MORGAN NEWTON OREGON
OSAGE OZARK PETTIS
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
ST. CLAIR SHANNON STONE
TANEY TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-023-035-041-061-077-079-089-091-097-101-115-121-127-
131-135-145-201940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CRAIG DELAWARE HASKELL
LATIMER LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
MCINTOSH MAYES MUSKOGEE
OTTAWA PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
ROGERS SEQUOYAH WAGONER
$$
TXC037-067-203-315-387-201940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CASS HARRISON
MARION RED RIVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Mod (50%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (10%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.