Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 292

   Mesoscale Discussion 0292
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1158 PM CDT Sat Mar 29 2025

   Areas affected...Northeast Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 67...

   Valid 300458Z - 300700Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 67
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A severe threat is likely continue for a couple more hours
   across parts of northeast Texas. Isolated large hail and severe wind
   gusts will be the primary threats. Although a local watch extension
   will be possible, weather watch issuance appears unlikely to the
   east of the current watch.

   DISCUSSION...The latest WSR-88D imagery from Fort Worth shows a line
   of severe storms extending from near the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex
   southward to just north of Waco. This line is located along the
   eastern edge of a corridor of moderate instability, where the RAP is
   analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2000 J/kg range. In addition, the
   Fort Worth WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 km shear around 40 knots with some
   directional shear in the lowest 1 km AGL. This will likely continue
   to support a severe potential with supercells embedded in the line.
   Isolated large hail and severe wind gusts will be the primary
   threats. The severe threat is expected to persist for a couple more
   hours, but may become more isolated with time as instability begins
   to weaken across the region.

   ..Broyles.. 03/30/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   33839636 32739713 31919782 31439781 31239743 31229663
               31679599 33049530 33829519 33839636 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN