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Mesoscale Discussion 222 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0222 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0628 AM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025 Areas affected...North Florida and southeast Georgia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 161128Z - 161300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A broken band of storms will spread eastward into southeast Georgia and north Florida through late morning. A new tornado watch appears likely. DISCUSSION...A broken band of storms has persisted overnight from south central GA into the eastern FL Panhandle, with occasional/embedded supercell structures. Low-level moistening over the next few hours and the onset of diurnal heating will drive destabilization across north FL/southeast GA later this morning. Though the low-level jet core will develop northeastward toward the Carolinas through the day, low-level flow/shear will remain sufficiently strong to support additional supercells through the morning across north FL/southeast GA. The storms will remain capable of producing occasional damaging winds and possibly a couple of tornadoes, and a new tornado watch will likely be needed from 12-13z. ..Thompson/Smith.. 03/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CHS...TBW...JAX...TAE... LAT...LON 31288133 30368164 29908202 29548247 29388309 29388323 29808337 30538324 31158280 31698236 31748192 31288133 |
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